Verified forecasting intelligence

Prove your judgment.

Predict ten real-world events every morning and build a permanent, verified track record of forecasting accuracy — the most honest credential in analytics.

No money involved · Points only · Free to start

LIVE — TODAY'S MOST CONTESTED SIGNAL

MACRO

Will the Federal Reserve hold rates unchanged at the September 2025 FOMC meeting?

Crowd Consensus67%
AI Baseline71%
Your forecast— —

Prediction closes in 14h 32m

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Why The Presage

A credential earned, not claimed.

Beat the AI

Every question has a locked AI baseline probability. Prove your judgment consistently outperforms AI.

Build your credential

Earn a verified Presage Rating backed by Brier-score math. Share your calibration publicly.

Daily habit

Ten curated questions every morning at 7am UTC. Windows close after 48 hours. No exceptions.

The credential

The credential that cannot be faked.

Unlike a CFA or MBA, a Presage Rating is built from hundreds of predictions on real events with public outcomes. Every call is timestamped, scored, and permanent.

@MacroMaven_KR

2,147Presage Rating

Principal tier

Top 4% globally · 347 verified predictions

Accuracy by domain

Macro128
Geopolitics94
Elections61
Crypto64
Verified Expert Forecaster

How it works

Three steps, every morning.

01

Predict independently

Ten daily questions appear at 7am. Select your probability. Submit before seeing what anyone else thinks.

02

See the crowd and AI

After submitting, see where calibrated forecasters and our AI model stand. Contrarian calls earn badges.

03

Build your reputation

Every resolved question updates your Presage Rating. Your public track record is permanent and verifiable.

Start building your track record today.

Free forever. No money, no wagering — just a verifiable record of how good your judgment really is.

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