Sharpen the one skill AI can't replace: your judgment.
10 real-world questions a day. Make your call before you see the crowd or the AI — then find out how you compare.
Free forever. Founding members get every Member feature free for 3 months.
Will Anthropic release a new frontier model before 31 October 2026?
Make your call
1 · Make your call — blind.
Before you ask AI what it thinks, find out what you think.
What you get
After 100 forecasts, you'll know:
- Where you're sharp — and where you're overconfident
- How you compare with other forecasters and the AI
- Whether you're actually getting sharper
Forecasting and the full reveal — crowd lean, AI probability and the AI's one-line take — are free forever. The full breakdown and the AI's full analysis come with Membership — free for 3 months as a founding member.
Your personal judgment report
SampleYour calibration improved 12% this month.
You're in the top 12% of ranked forecasters.
You run 14% overconfident overall.
Strongest on GEOPOLITICS, weakest on MACRO
You read questions that resolve over a few weeks best.
Plus the “Verified by The Presage” seal on your public profile and the weekly newsletter.
Built on a simple conviction: in the age of AI, reading what happens next is the skill that still sets people apart — and it's one you can build. The Presage is where you build it. Read our story →
Why it matters
Judgment is the rarest skill left.
AI can answer almost anything — but it can't tell you who's right about tomorrow.
We're not here to beat the machine. We're here to become the kind of thinkers who stay irreplaceable beside it.
— The Presage